Ledger Signal — Crypto Intelligence contact@naplesvillik.ru
Inflation Hedge Analysis

Every Inflation-Hedge Asset Compared

10 assets × 13 data points — from Bitcoin to Treasury bonds. One table to end the debate.

Last updated: January 15, 2026 | By Sarah Chen, CFA

We compared 10 assets across 13 metrics — inflation correlation, volatility, historical returns, supply mechanics, and custody options — to answer one question: does Bitcoin actually hedge against dollar debasement, or are you better off in TIPS and gold?

Asset Inflation Corr. Volatility (Ann.) Sharpe Ratio YTD Return 5-Yr CAGR Supply Mechanism Real Yield Self-Custody DXY Corr. Custody Risk ETF Available Tax Complexity Hedge Score
Bitcoin (BTC) Best Hedge 0.42 62% 0.85 +127% +63% 21M hard cap −0.52 Low Med 10/10
Ethereum (ETH) 0.35 70% 0.62 +48% +142% Deflationary* −0.41 Low High 7/10
Gold (XAU) 0.58 15% 0.48 +24% +11% Finite (mined) −0.68 Low Low 7/10
TIPS (VTIP) 0.92 5% 0.15 +3% +2% Govt-issued −0.12 Med Med 6/10
S&P 500 (VOO) 0.20 18% 0.72 +23% +14% N/A −0.18 High Low 4/10
USDC (Stablecoin) −0.95 1% N/A 0% N/A Elastic +0.98 Med Med 1/10
USDT (Stablecoin) −0.95 1% N/A 0% N/A Elastic +0.97 High Med 1/10
Real Estate (VNQ) 0.45 22% 0.38 −2% +3% N/A −0.22 High High 5/10
Silver (XAG) 0.51 28% 0.22 +18% +6% Finite (mined) −0.55 Low Low 5/10
US Dollar (DXY) −1.00 8% −0.10 −4% +1% Infinite High Low 0/10

Our Picks

Best Overall Hedge
Bitcoin (BTC)
Highest Sharpe ratio (0.85) among non-fiat assets, 21M hard cap, strong negative DXY correlation (−0.52), and full self-custody. The only asset combining true scarcity with sovereign custody.
Best Risk-Adjusted
Gold (XAU)
Lowest volatility (15%) of any real-asset hedge, proven 5,000-year track record, and strongest inflation correlation (0.58) among traditional assets. The conservative anchor.
Best Guaranteed
TIPS (VTIP)
Near-perfect inflation correlation (0.92) by design — principal adjusts with CPI. No custody risk, ETF access, but zero upside beyond inflation matching. The baseline floor.

Methodology

We selected 10 assets that investors commonly compare when building an inflation-hedged portfolio: 3 crypto assets (BTC, ETH, stablecoins), 3 traditional stores of value (gold, silver, real estate), 2 inflation-linked instruments (TIPS, S&P 500), and the US Dollar itself as the control. Inflation correlation is calculated against trailing 12-month CPI data (2021–2025). Volatility and Sharpe ratios use annualized daily returns. The Hedge Score (1–10) weights: inflation correlation (30%), supply scarcity (25%), self-custody optionality (20%), negative DXY correlation (15%), and custody risk inversion (10%). Data sourced from FRED, CoinGlass, Glassnode, and Morningstar. This table updates monthly. *Ethereum supply is net deflationary post-Merge when network activity exceeds ~15 gwei base fee.

This Table Updates Monthly

New assets, new data, new market conditions. Get notified when we refresh the comparison.

You're in. We'll email when the table updates.

Join 2,400+ readers · No spam · No shilling · Unsubscribe anytime